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Arndale market report M4 5, Manchester

The M4 5 (Arndale) house price history in full, 1995 to 2026, in cash and in today's money. The raw material for this page is 1,712 HM Land Registry entries for M4 5 (Manchester), going back to 1995: each an actual purchase at an actual price. Rents come from the ONS. Valuations, estimates and asking prices appear nowhere in it.

Sales data to 2026. Rents: ONS, May 2026. Regenerated with every monthly data refresh.

In short: the middle 2026 sale in M4 5 (Manchester) came in at £247,500, out of 16 registered, down 34% on five years earlier, and the mean stands at £251,200, and by floor area homes here have averaged about £4,290 per square metre over the last five years. The record behind it is 1,712 completed sales lodged with HM Land Registry since 1995, monthly refreshed, with no valuations or asking prices anywhere in the figures.

A postcode sector like M4 5 is a single group of streets within M4 (Manchester), the finest slice the public record supports. Fewer sales stand behind each figure than at district level, so the lines jump about more.

Where M4 5 sits

Shaded by median price on the same scale as the average prices map. Click any shape to open it on the live map with every sale plotted at its address, or zoom in past street level to see the sold homes right here.

£247,500typical sale, 2026
£4,290/m²per square metre, 5-year average
-34%five-year change (cash)
16homes sold, last 12 months
6.6%estimated gross yield

The going rate for a home in M4 5

16 sales were registered in M4 5 in 2026, and the middle one of them, the median, went for £247,500. The mean works out at £251,200, nearly identical to it, meaning sales cluster closely around the typical figure.

House prices per square metre in M4 5

The last five years of sales put M4 5 at roughly £4,290 per square metre. That figure, built from each sale's Energy Performance Certificate floor area, is the one that makes a small flat and a big house comparable.

For scale: the England and Wales median is £285,000, so M4 5 trades 13% below the country as a whole.

The price of a typical M4 5 home, 1995 to 2026

Year by year: the median as it was recorded, and the same figure brought into today's money with ONS CPIH, which is where "did homes get dearer" actually gets answered. Hover shows each year; the legend isolates a series.

Price at the timeIn today's money (CPIH)
£125k£250k£375k£500k1995200020052010201520202026 1995: £45,000 at the time · £97,823 in today's money · 2 sales1996: £21,000 at the time · £44,288 in today's money · 4 sales1997: £24,000 at the time · £49,219 in today's money · 5 sales1998: £49,000 at the time · £98,910 in today's money · 4 sales1999: £35,000 at the time · £69,753 in today's money · 5 sales2000: £30,000 at the time · £58,875 in today's money · 4 sales2001: £160,000 at the time · £307,592 in today's money · 29 sales2002: £102,000 at the time · £191,912 in today's money · 53 sales2003: £152,800 at the time · £281,495 in today's money · 105 sales2004: £146,500 at the time · £266,073 in today's money · 50 sales2005: £180,000 at the time · £320,327 in today's money · 27 sales2006: £174,000 at the time · £302,042 in today's money · 199 sales2007: £157,400 at the time · £266,994 in today's money · 80 sales2008: £163,900 at the time · £268,667 in today's money · 27 sales2009: £140,000 at the time · £225,051 in today's money · 13 sales2010: £153,500 at the time · £240,728 in today's money · 19 sales2011: £144,500 at the time · £218,139 in today's money · 20 sales2012: £144,400 at the time · £212,539 in today's money · 31 sales2013: £170,000 at the time · £244,613 in today's money · 55 sales2014: £177,500 at the time · £251,815 in today's money · 126 sales2015: £160,000 at the time · £226,080 in today's money · 157 sales2016: £180,500 at the time · £252,521 in today's money · 40 sales2017: £213,000 at the time · £290,511 in today's money · 70 sales2018: £230,000 at the time · £306,594 in today's money · 67 sales2019: £222,000 at the time · £290,989 in today's money · 71 sales2020: £300,000 at the time · £389,256 in today's money · 19 sales2021: £372,500 at the time · £471,633 in today's money · 62 sales2022: £277,500 at the time · £325,400 in today's money · 83 sales2023: £335,000 at the time · £368,083 in today's money · 156 sales2024: £330,000 at the time · £350,858 in today's money · 52 sales2025: £290,000 at the time · £296,935 in today's money · 61 sales2026: £247,500 at the time · £247,500 in today's money · 16 sales
See this chart as a table
YearMedian (cash)Median (today's £)Sales
2026£247,500£247,50016
2025£290,000£296,93561
2024£330,000£350,85852
2023£335,000£368,083156
2022£277,500£325,40083
2021£372,500£471,63362
2020£300,000£389,25619
2019£222,000£290,98971
2018£230,000£306,59467
2017£213,000£290,51170
2016£180,500£252,52140
2015£160,000£226,080157
2014£177,500£251,815126
2013£170,000£244,61355
2012£144,400£212,53931
2011£144,500£218,13920
2010£153,500£240,72819
2009£140,000£225,05113
2008£163,900£268,66727
2007£157,400£266,99480
2006£174,000£302,042199
2005£180,000£320,32727
2004£146,500£266,07350
2003£152,800£281,495105
2002£102,000£191,91253
2001£160,000£307,59229
2000£30,000£58,8754
1999£35,000£69,7535
1998£49,000£98,9104
1997£24,000£49,2195
1996£21,000£44,2884
1995£45,000£97,8232

In cash terms the typical M4 5 home went from £45,000 in 1995 to £247,500 in 2026, roughly 6 times the price. Inflation explains only part of it: in today's money the rise is still about 153%, a genuine increase in what a home here costs. In inflation-adjusted terms the high-water mark was 2021. The market now sits about 48% below it, so a peak-time purchase has yet to recover its real value.

Year-on-year change in the M4 5 median

Each bar is the change on the year before, in cash. The zero line is the boundary between rising and falling.

+500% -100% 0% 1996 · −53.3% on the year before1997 · +14.3% on the year before1998 · +104.2% on the year before1999 · −28.6% on the year before2000 · −14.3% on the year before2001 · +433.3% on the year before2002 · −36.3% on the year before2003 · +49.8% on the year before2004 · −4.1% on the year before2005 · +22.9% on the year before2006 · −3.3% on the year before2007 · −9.5% on the year before2008 · +4.1% on the year before2009 · −14.6% on the year before2010 · +9.6% on the year before2011 · −5.9% on the year before2012 · −0.1% on the year before2013 · +17.7% on the year before2014 · +4.4% on the year before2015 · −9.9% on the year before2016 · +12.8% on the year before2017 · +18.0% on the year before2018 · +8.0% on the year before2019 · −3.5% on the year before2020 · +35.1% on the year before2021 · +24.2% on the year before2022 · −25.5% on the year before2023 · +20.7% on the year before2024 · −1.5% on the year before2025 · −12.1% on the year before2026 · −14.7% on the year before200020052010201520202026

The strongest year on record here is 2001 (+433.3% on the year before); the weakest, 1996 (−53.3%). Single-year swings like these are why the annualised table below matters more than any one year's headline.

The long view: annualised growth

PeriodCash, per yearReal terms, per year
1 years (since 2025)−14.7%−16.6%
5 years (since 2021)−7.9%−12.1%
10 years (since 2016)+3.2%−0.2%
20 years (since 2006)+1.8%−1.0%

The table annualises median growth over each period, with the real column deflated by ONS CPIH. Smoothing hides the cycle (see the chart above for it), and none of this forecasts: it is the record.

Sales activity in M4 5

The year-by-year sales count

Each bar is a year's recorded sales. 2008's dip is the financial crisis, and the newest bar always grows for a while as late registrations arrive.

50100150200 1995: 2 sales1996: 4 sales1997: 5 sales1998: 4 sales1999: 5 sales2000: 4 sales2001: 29 sales2002: 53 sales2003: 105 sales2004: 50 sales2005: 27 sales2006: 199 sales2007: 80 sales2008: 27 sales2009: 13 sales2010: 19 sales2011: 20 sales2012: 31 sales2013: 55 sales2014: 126 sales2015: 157 sales2016: 40 sales2017: 70 sales2018: 67 sales2019: 71 sales2020: 19 sales2021: 62 sales2022: 83 sales2023: 156 sales2024: 52 sales2025: 61 sales2026: 16 sales1995200020052010201520202026

The register shows 16 M4 5 sales across the most recent twelve months of data. Turnover has held fairly steady across the cycle: about 74 sales a year recently, against 68 a year before 2008. Volume matters as much as price: when few homes change hands, the median gets jumpy and a single street can move the figure. The most recent year is always still filling in, because sales appear in the Land Registry weeks or months after completion.

What homes rent for around M4 5

For renting purposes M4 5 sits in Manchester. The ONS average private rent there is £1,352 a month (May 2026). A one-bed averages £989 a month here and a four-or-more-bed £1,989, so size does most of the work in setting the rent.

Average monthly rent by size, Manchester

ONS Price Index of Private Rents, May 2026.

1 bed: £989 a month£9891 bed2 bed: £1,216 a month£1,2162 bed3 bed: £1,410 a month£1,4103 bed4+ bed: £1,989 a month£1,9894+ bed

£1,352 a month is £16,224 a year, which against the £247,500 median sold price makes a gross yield of 6.6%. Gross means before letting costs, voids, maintenance and tax: treat it as a ceiling. The ONS publishes rents by local authority, so neighbouring districts under the same authority share these numbers.

How M4 5 trades

This is a thin market: 16 sales in the last twelve months of data. With that few transactions, one street selling well (or one block of cheap transfers) can move the median, so read the year lines as a range rather than a verdict. Expect volatility in the annual figures: swings past ten per cent show up repeatedly above, and they usually reflect the mix of homes sold in a given year rather than genuine repricing. Against the M4 district median, M4 5 sits 17% higher, marking it as a dearer pocket of the district.

What people ask about M4 5 (Arndale)

How much did a house sell for in M4 5 (Arndale)?
Land Registry recorded 16 sales in M4 5 (Arndale) in 2026, with a median sold price of £247,500. Every one is free to view at its exact address on the HomesIndex map.
Are property prices falling in M4 5 (Arndale)?
In M4 5 (Arndale) the median moved down 15% year on year; over five years it is down 34%. The full year-by-year table since 1995 is on this page.
Is M4 5 (Arndale) a good place to buy a house?
M4 5 (Arndale) sold prices are down 34% over five years. This report weighs growth, affordability and volume against neighbouring areas using only recorded sales.

Will M4 5 prices rise from here?

The record answers a different question than "what happens next": the median is down 34% over five years in cash but down 48% after inflation. Put the volume chart beside the price chart before drawing conclusions, and allow for the register's lag behind actual completions.

What is for sale in M4 right now

This is what you could actually buy today: 74 homes currently on the market from 11 agents publishing to HomesIndex.

These cover the whole M4 district, not just M4 5: live asking prices are collected per district.

£200,000Typical asking price now (M4 district)
44 below what sold nearby28 in line with nearby sales2 above nearby sales

59% of what is on the market here is asking below what comparable homes actually sold for. Every listing is measured against recent recorded sales of similar nearby homes.

The "under comparable sales" label measures each asking price against real nearby sales of similar homes: an opening position for a conversation rather than a valuation. The home itself still needs looking at.

See every M4 home for sale on the map →

Refreshed every Monday and Thursday from agents' own feeds to HomesIndex, so a sample of the market rather than all of it. An asking price remains an ask, not a sale.

Moving up a bedroom in M: the cost

What homes of each size actually sold for across the M area, from the Land Registry record. The jump between sizes is local: in some areas a third bedroom adds a quarter to the price, in others nearly four fifths, so a national rule of thumb will mislead you here.

Type1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed5 bed
Detached£282,000£395,000 (+40%)£625,000 (+58%)£810,000 (+30%)
Semi-detached£200,000£240,000 (+20%)£310,000 (+29%)£450,000 (+45%)£635,000 (+41%)
Terraced£181,725£199,300 (+10%)£246,000 (+23%)£350,000 (+42%)£455,000 (+30%)
Flat£160,000£233,000 (+46%)£330,000 (+42%)£590,000 (+79%)

Medians of recorded sales over the last four years, by built form and bedroom count. Sold homes carry no advertised bedroom count, so sizes are estimated from their EPC records; a small number of homes will sit one size out. Sizes with too few homes to be meaningful are left blank.

The risers and the fallers

The spread across the M area is the point: the same five years treated these districts very differently.

Other sectors in M4

Prices can differ sharply between two sectors a few minutes' walk apart. The rest of M4, each linking to its own report:

SectorMedian (latest)Sales that year
M4 1£195,00021
M4 4£205,00027
M4 6£305,00039
M4 7£205,00045

Zoom out to the full M4 district report for the type split, monthly volumes and how M4 compares with its neighbours.

Selling in M4 5? Start from the sold record

The sold record beats any estimate as a starting point. Before a house valuation or flat valuation in M4 5, open the average prices map and zoom from the M4 5 shading down to the sold homes on your own street. Every recorded M4 5 sale is on this page; the same Land Registry record is what agents price from, and it is now in your hands.

Local estate agents: one agent per district gets the featured spot on this report, free for founding agents. Claim M4 5.

Go deeper

Behind the answers sits the same Land Registry record as this page, with M4 5 already set as the subject. Free, one click sign in.

See every individual M4 5 sale on the live map, mapped to the exact address, or zoom the average prices map from neighbourhood shading down to single homes. The report tool writes a custom answer to a specific question, and the mortgage and rent calculator on any sale runs the numbers on a real purchase.

How this page is made: the statistics are computed from HM Land Registry Price Paid Data (Crown copyright, OGL v3.0), geocoded to address level; inflation adjustment uses the ONS CPIH index; rents are the ONS Price Index of Private Rents at local-authority level. Medians of recorded sales, not valuations. Nothing on this page is financial advice.